Dave Gettleman has been slacking with his draft picks
Pro Football Focus has released an interesting graph that shows just how well all 32 NFL teams have performed over the past four years when it comes to draft players. Without any surprise the New York Giants haven’t been doing very well.
Here’s how PFF’s formula works:
The success of a draft pick is measured by the PFF WAR (wins above replacement) of the respective player over the first four years, as this is the time frame in which a drafted player yields surplus value due to his relatively cheap rookie contract…
We want to examine recent draft success, but players drafted in 2018 or later haven’t yet played four years. Luckily, WAR after four years is highly correlated to WAR after three or even two years, with R^2 values of 0.96 and 0.87, respectively. Therefore, we can assess each team’s 2018 and 2019 draft success by predicting the WAR numbers after four years with a high degree of accuracy.
You can check out the chart below.
As you can see above, the Giants have been one of the worst teams when it comes to improving their roster via the draft since 2017. Only seven other teams have been doing a worse job selecting players via the draft.
For anyone is a Dave Gettleman apologist, this is just more proof that he hasn’t done a very good job in turning things around since coming on board in 2018.